How European Crisis Might Play Out And The Impending Recession

Excellent article examines German and European Crisis

"The problem here is simple and everyone knows the story by now. Germany benefited from a weak Euro relative to what it otherwise would have experienced had it not been a part of the EU.

Their growth and exports skyrocketed and the lesser nations from an economic and financial standpoint (often referred to collectively as the PIIGS) borrowed from Germany essentially to finance current account deficits as they took advantage of much lower interest rates due to their affiliation with Germany via the Euro.

These PIIGS lived up to their name in eating up every source of financing they could."

Its conclusion:

"You cannot borrow more than you can pay back and if you do, you will pay for it eventually either via war, severe or hyperinflation, deflation, depression etc.

The market won’t disappear and we will get back to the “good times” eventually. However, the 90s were an aberration where everyone made money like in the roaring twenties, and we all know what happened there.

We have a solid 5-10 years of pain before we can get our house in order and get back to a “normal” economy, if there is such a thing".

seekingalpha.com

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